PART 9-----PREDATORY
HANDICAPPING / NUANCES an
TRAINERS continued
As mentioned at the conclusion of Part 8 of this series,
there are many more winning trainer nuances to consider every day in addition to
incessant saddle checking or tightening.
Here’s a “doozy” for you. It falls into the trainer nuance
category under the subheading of how trainers dress.
Walt once asked me what I thought of the training abilities
of a certain female conditioner. I replied that I thought she was quite
competent and fully capable of winning races, as her horses had beaten my
selections more than once in the past. Somewhat embarrassed, I additionally
confessed that after studying her for close to 3 years and attempting to create
a “trainer profile” in hopes of knowing when she was positively “sending”, I
still had absolutely no clue. Try as I might, I couldn’t “time” her with a
clock.
And what made it doubly frustrating was the fact that even
my failsafe “physicality” inspections weren’t the entire answer. She took great care of all her horses and most were hard to knock. What’s
more and almost without exception, every one of her runners
received at least an adequate
4 furlong pre-race warm-up before the start of their race
and most received even more.
Once offering my opinion to Mr. Nuance, he had only 1 more
question.
“How would you like to know exactly when she
was ‘going’? Not that she’ll necessarily win that specific race
on that specific day because many other trainers could also be ‘sending’, but
how would you like to know without any doubt whatsoever each and
every time her horses were well-meant”?
I replied that giving me that information would be like offering the fox a key to the hen house!
He uttered only one more word------“earrings”!
When I quizzed him further, he again offered me only the
same single word-----“earrings”!
I even tried a third time, but the outcome didn’t change.
As with any talented teacher, Walt was only willing to show
me the right path. If I applied myself and paid strict attention to her and
actually discovered what he was referring to, not only would I be a “happy
camper” financially, but it would spur me on to watching other “mystery
trainers” to unearth other positive “Achilles’ heels”.
At first it was extremely hard for me to accept that 3 distinctly different handicapping approaches could peacefully coexist
and actually work together to enhance my mutuel returns.
Years earlier I had that same apprehension when adding
“physicality” to my traditional methodology of speed, pace, trip, breeding,
etc., but hard work paid off. I began saving innumerable “bad bets” by passing
questionably sound horses while at the same time gaining the confidence to
really “get down” on good looking horses who had it all going their way.
And even when having this dual-faceted methodology almost
down to an exact science to where I was totally confident that I could readily
distinguish between good looking and bad looking horses, I knew that something
was still missing even though the word “nuance” had yet to join my thought
processes.
But when it did, it really did!
Over the next 4 weeks, not only did I have my answer about
her “earrings”, but I fully understood that I was being hopelessly sucked into
another totally alien methodology that was completely independent
from my own, yet worked with the same efficiency.
I was flabbergasted! This was too good to be true! I
could think of nothing but that momentous day when my present methodology and
his would merge to become one. My desire to learn every nuance under the sun
became my main focus!
While never being one to be overwhelmed to the point of
“blind faith” without undeniable evidence, I continued to track her for a full
year. The outcome was the same as it was during the first 4 weeks of my initial
discovery.
Her earring nuance quite simplistic.
When she was “sending”, she always adorned herself with the same exact pair of earrings.
She didn’t necessarily win every time when wearing them, as
there were times when other trainers were also “sending” in the same race. But one factor was undeniably inescapable. Whenever it was
“earrings-on”, every single one of her horses “tried” to win and gave everything
that they had. This was in stark contrast to “earrings-off”, where her runners
were clearly just out for exercise!
Did I hear somebody say “why”?
That is even easier to explain and every one
of us most likely does the same thing.
Whenever she thought she had a good chance of having her
picture taken in the winner’s circle, she wanted to look her best. Evidently,
she felt that she looked best in those specific earrings.
And so that there is no confusion, they weren’t her “lucky”
earrings. Anyone that superstitious would have most likely slept in them and never removed them to wear others. This positively wasn’t the case.
She wore many different sets of earrings------but she never won a race unless she was wearing that “special pair”!
Most likely I would have never seen
this nuance unless Walt had precisely directed me as to where to look.
This surely parallels the many different aspects of
learning “physicality handicapping”.
Had I not informed my readers how to spot
extension problems by seeing if a horse was walking short, most if not all of
those same handicappers would have never understood the immensely negative
implications of shortstepping, while at the same time mutuelly benefiting from
countless “saved wagers”. And as I’ve stated many times in past writings,
“saving a bad bet is the same as cashing on an even money
winner”!
Quite happily, I continue to learn other trainer nuances to
this day.
And by all means, please understand that “nuances” might be
nothing more than subconscious subtleties in a trainer’s psychological makeup
that automatically manifest themselves whenever in an elevated mood!
Furthermore, it wouldn’t surprise me in the least if you quizzed specific
trainers about displaying their obvious nuances when “sending” or “not sending”,
that some wouldn’t be aware of their hand-tipping!
In Part 10, while not going into great detail as I have
with “rechecking the saddle” and the “special earrings”, I’ll offer you 7 more
of the best trainer nuances on the planet.
© Joe Takach 2003
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